Next year Giants need a better backup catcher.....of course if backup catchers were any good they'd be starting catchers somewhere else.Frankie the stats kept these days are amazing. You can find out the % of taken pitches an umpire calls a strike. You can find out an umpires runs per game average. The other day I was listening to someone run down the stats on Lincecum's pitches. In 2008 66% fastballs average speed of 94.1 MPH, in 2010 55% fastballs at 91.8 mph, etc....... Somewhere there is someone who knows exactly how many of what type of pitch Sanchez throws on the third strike, how many result in strikeouts, ground balls, hits, etc......
I still think anyone that bets games is nuts no matter what the sport. In football the great majority of games the point spread is decided on a freak score or the freak lost score (like a fumble going in at the 2-yard line). Basketball has garbage time so a 16 point lead and easy cover can dwindle to 5 and no cover in the last 2 minutes without the winning team ever being really threatened enough to put in the regulars again. In baseball a guy who is 19-1 with a 1.50 ERA can lose to pitcher who is 1-9 with a 6.00 ERA just because thats the way it goes.
Of course the dumbest bet of all is pre-season NFL football where the point spread gets decided because a guy who will be working at safeway next week gets behind a defender who will be selling dime bags on the street corner in a week for the deciding touchdown, then drops it.
None of that includes the league office telling refs to throw a 6th game of a playoff series to make sure there is a game #7 because TV wants it.
Same with over/unders....ya just never know. Having said all that today I put $100 each on both the Niners and Raiders to go over on wins for the season.
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